Quean Lutibelle's Cyberbook of Numbers

© 1995, 1997,  2002  by Louie Crew lcrew@andromeda.rutgers.edu

First, the good news: The Episcopal Church Grew almost 10 percent in the Decade of Evangelism, 1990-2000.

Some dioceses did much better than others:

ECUSA Dioceses Ranked by Growth
in 1990-2000, the Decade of Evangelism
Rank by Growth19902000DifferenceRank by Size in 2000Diocese
16,0279,05750.30%71Vermont
29,15413,49947.50%51New Hampshire
33,3674,80442.70%89Idaho
419,35427,45441.90%23Florida
510,11814,17440.10%50Western North Carolina
621,51529,54637.30%19Alabama
75,3177,15934.60%81Wyoming
833,87745,46234.20%7Atlanta
952,92670,32332.90%1Virginia
109,96413,14231.90%54Rio Grande
119,43612,32930.70%58Tennessee
1226,83234,70829.40%14Dallas
134,2025,39328.30%87Utah
1419,65024,89026.70%26Arizona
153,6054,54426.00%92Nevada
1655,24469,02124.90%2Texas
1712,87716,03724.50%40Northern California
1827,51934,23424.40%15Central Florida
194,5435,58723.00%85Montana
2012,52915,30822.20%45Georgia
2132,90939,86821.10%10North Carolina
2212,56415,17720.80%46East Carolina
2319,09822,94020.10%30Upper South Carolina
2430,84336,88119.60%12Maryland
2518,41822,01219.50%32South Carolina
2623,35527,85219.30%21Colorado
2715,15517,96418.50%37Central Gulf Coast
2826,87831,82318.40%16Washington
298,3349,76617.20%69Indianapolis
3015,83618,47316.70%35San Diego
316,9908,13716.40%77Hawaii
327,7338,96315.90%72San Joaquin
3310,06911,61015.30%61Maine
3422,67725,98514.60%24Olympia
356,7927,76214.30%79Lexington
3615,51717,63613.70%38Oregon
379,95511,31413.70%64Soutwestern Virginia
3812,82114,49913.10%48East Tennessee
3964872912.50%100Navajoland
4021,52324,11912.10%27California
4121,30523,86312.00%29Minnesota
4210,33911,57011.90%62Arkansas
4311,93413,33811.80%52Missouri
4414,90916,60711.40%39Pittsburgh
4513,94915,53111.30%43Louisiana
467,3178,11510.90%78Northwest Texas
4710,77111,90210.50%60Milwaukee
4816,38218,07910.40%36Mississippi
4911,80413,01710.30%55Kansas
5048,04252,6619.60%5Connecticut
5126,14628,5679.30%20Southern Virginia
5242,72646,6169.10%6New York
539,23910,0228.50%68Delaware
547,8578,5078.30%74Kentucy
5514,65515,7887.70%42Oklahoma
5633,71036,2977.70%13Chicago
5718,80820,2327.60%33Southern Ohio
5821,46122,8686.60%31West Texas
5928,39330,0385.80%18Southeast Florida
6051,56954,4605.60%4Los Angeles
6114,10614,8285.10%47Fort Worth
624,2444,4494.80%93Alaska
6357,87760,0423.70%3Massachusetts
642,0502,1233.60%97Eau Claire
656,9957,2173.20%80Easton
662,5662,6302.50%95Quincy
6710,74411,0102.50%65Western Michigan
685,3305,4422.10%86Springfield
6912,58612,7141.00%57El Camino Real
702,3512,3741.00%96Western Kansas
7131,64931,7230.20%17Southwest Florida
7210,42910,4380.10%67West Missouri
7314,32814,3400.10%49Western Massachusetts
7411,48511,366-1.00%63Western Louisiana
7510,75410,627-1.20%66Rochester
7616,21315,870-2.10%41Central New York
7728,62627,745-3.10%22Newark
786,0975,890-3.40%84Northern Indiana
799,0198,695-3.60%73Nebraska
8013,87513,260-4.40%53Central Pennsylvania
814,8954,671-4.60%90Northwestern Pennsylvania
829,8909,324-5.70%70Iowa
8341,99839,125-6.80%11New Jersey
8413,19312,177-7.70%59Bethlehem
8516,84415,450-8.30%44Albany
8628,33325,902-8.60%25Ohio
873,0672,761-10.00%94Eastern Oregon
8821,47619,098-11.10%34Rhode Island
8950,33144,123-12.30%8Pennsylvania
902,1441,872-12.70%98North Dakota
911,9201,655-13.80%99Northern Michigan
928,2797,020-15.20%82Spokane
9310,0578,396-16.50%76West Virginia
9415,47412,757-17.60%56Western New York
9553,55044,036-17.80%9Long Island
967,2625,926-18.40%83South Dakota
976,6344,627-30.30%91Fond du Lac
988,8175,297-39.90%88West Tennessee

Note: The Diocese of Eastern Michigan did not exist in 1990, but was created out of the Diocese of Michigan The two together in 2000 (E. Mich 8,477+ Mich. 24,107=32,584) are down 7.6% of the size of the Diocese of Michigan in 1990 (35,265).

Caveat re: this report!

A correspondent asked both Dr. Kirk Hadaway (chief researcher at the Episcopal Church Center) and me:

> Hadaway's statistics from the Church Missionary Society show a continued
> decline in membership over the last ten years, while Crew has the
> Church gaining over 250,000 in the last five years of the Decade of
> Evangelism.

Dr. Hadaway has graciously given me permission to share his reply:

Louie and ****,

I have posted a long report [in pdf format; it requires Adobe Acrobat Reader. -- LC] on this issue on the Episcopal Church web site (under Research and Statistics in the Congregational Development pages).

There have been some data cleaning problems during the past decade, which I have corrected. Thus, the data reported do not exactly match up with the Red Book statistics. But the biggest problem is with changes in definition and the removal of non-domestic dioceses. This is something that some have chosen to ignore in their reports on the decline of the Episcopal Church.

During the past ten years membership showed a slow decline. Attendance showed some overall growth, but last year was not a good year. Communicants are up strongly, as Louie reports. However, as you will see in the report there was a major change in the way communicants are reported that makes the growth in this area suspect.

Essentially, I think we have been on a plateau during the past decade. This is not something to cheer about, but it is better than any other mainline Protestant denomination.

Kirk


Note: If you are interested in having a more detailed and comprehensive analysis of data for your parish or diocese, visit Church Reports. -- LC

Now the bad news: In the three decades from 1970-2000 the country grew by  41.2 percent, but the Episcopal Church shrank by 15.9 percent:

In 1970 we in the Episcopal Church were 1.11% of the US population. By 2000 we were only .66% of the USA population, or  only 59.5% of the share we had thirty years ago:

.

Yet, the Episcopal Church has not shrunk equally everywhere. At first glance, at the raw numbers, the hardest hit areas seem to be the so-called "liberal areas"--the Northeast (Provinces 1 and 2) and the west coast (Province 8). The conservative South (Province 4) and Southwest (Province 7) appear to be hit the least:

Click here to see a map of the provinces

>
Reviewing this depressing data, it is tempting to draw the conclusion that if we would all just huddle more closely together with a conservative agenda, we would see out this storm with minimal attrition.

However, looked at more closely, the data suggest that we should resist that huddle! Just as not all provinces of the church have equally declined in membership, so the population of the nation has not grown equally:

Enter the Sunbelt! Millions have moved to the South and the Southwest during the last twenty years. How well have conservative Episcopalians fared in welcoming these migrants? The Southwest, which above seemed to have had the largest growth, has in fact, experienced the fourth largest decline, when population shifts are factored:

ECUSA Decline
in Percent of the US Population
In order of greatest to least decline
Province 1-0.796%
Province 2-0.699%
Province 8-0.502%
Province 7-0.472%
Province 6-0.460%
Province 3-0.418%
Province 5-0.278%
Province 4-0.222%

I take little comfort that the same fate is happening to all mainline denominations.

Evangelize whom?

It is madness for the Episcopal Church to talk about wanting to grow and at the same time systematically to underrepresent groups previously excluded or ignored. Often we seem to long for the keys to the country club again, rather than for the keys to the Kingdom of Heaven. It's easy to see where the people are who could fill our pews. Jesus said that if those whom we invite don't show up, we should go into the "highways and hedges," -- i.e., not the usual venues of the Episcopal Church:

New Faces of the USA

What would the Episcopal Church look like if it began to take the Great Commission more seriously? Is the Episcopal Church capable of God's love to begin to look as red, yellow, black and white as the nation itself?

According to the 2000 US census, persons of color constitute 29.4% of the United States.

Asians3.60%
Blacks12.30%
Hawaian Natives.10%
Hispanic or Latino Origin12.5%
American Indians.9%
Total29.4%

How long will it take white Episcopalians to love and welcome their varied neighbors as they love and welcome themselves? For example, over 10 million black people live in Province 4--27 percent of all people in Province 4. Yet only 3.2 percent of the 2,545 clergy in Province 4 are black. Thirty-five percent of all blacks in the nation live in Province 4, yet only 20.49 percent of the black Episcopal clergy do.

Growth/Loss in ECUSA Dioceses, 1970-2000
In descending order of gain/loss
Ranked by Percent of GrowthDioceseProv.1970198019902000GrowthPercent GrowthSize Rank
1Western North Carolina47,7399,62210,11814,1746,43583.2%50
2*Alabama422,39617,72021,51529,5467,15066.4%19
3*Florida422,64618,19919,35427,4544,80866.4%23
4*Central Gulf Coast4n/a14,59415,15517,96417,96466.4%37
5Atlanta428,17928,24233,87745,46217,28361.3%7
6Central Florida423,91525,38827,51934,23410,31943.1%15
7North Carolina428,97130,62032,90939,86810,89737.6%10
8Virginia351,17851,15052,92670,32319,14537.4%1
9Mississippi413,25915,53616,38218,0794,82036.4%36
10Upper South Carolina416,91219,20919,09822,9406,02835.6%30
11East Carolina411,22412,45412,56415,1773,95335.2%47
12Georgia411,77412,26012,52915,3083,53430.0%46
13Arizona819,25017,74419,65024,8905,64029.3%26
14Vermont17,0246,3166,0279,0572,03328.9%71
15South Carolina417,36419,49018,41822,0124,64826.8%32
16New Hampshire110,6698,9059,15413,4992,83026.5%51
17Southwest Florida426,06829,75331,64931,7235,65521.7%17
18*Fort Worth7n/an/a14,10614,82814,82821.1%48
19*Dallas740,90837,62826,83234,708(6,200)21.1%14
20Utah84,5653,5374,2025,39382818.1%87
21Texas758,80961,69755,24469,02110,21217.4%2
22*East Tennessee4n/an/a12,82117,96417,96415.4%38
23*West Tennessee4n/an/a8,8175,2975,29715.4%88
24*Tennessee430,83631,2369,43612,329(18,507)15.4%58
25Southern Virginia325,68026,52326,14628,5672,88711.2%20
26Lexington46,9856,9756,7927,76277711.1%79
27Idaho84,3944,3193,3674,8044109.3%89
28Alaska84,1242,3814,2444,4493257.9%93
29Easton36,7706,8056,9957,2174476.6%80
30Rio Grande712,71411,6309,96413,1424283.4%54
31Soutwestern Virginia311,05211,2499,95511,3142622.4%64
32San Joaquin88,8218,1937,7338,9631421.6%72
33West Texas722,99622,04721,46122,868(128)-0.6%31
34Northern California816,26014,18412,87716,037(223)-1.4%41
35Nevada84,6413,9473,6054,544(97)-2.1%92
36Southeast Florida431,14630,19828,39330,038(1,108)-3.6%18
37Missouri513,87412,48311,93413,338(536)-3.9%52
38Arkansas712,26112,93410,33911570(691)-5.6%62
39Colorado630,22426,79023,35527,852(2,372)-7.8%21
40Hawaii88,9036,4176,9908,137(766)-8.6%77
41Maine112,96212,40310,06911,610(1,352)-10.4%61
42Oklahoma717,66316,33414,65515,788(1,875)-10.6%43
43Indianapolis511,0199,6238,3349,766(1,253)-11.4%69
44Maryland341,62939,64830,84336,881(4,748)-11.4%12
45Northwest Texas79,2208,5237,3178,115(1,105)-12.0%78
46Kentucy49,7129,0697,8578,507(1,205)-12.4%74
47Western Louisiana7n/a12,70211,48511,36611,366-13.6%63
48Louisiana431,14815,96613,94915,531(15,617)-13.6%44
49Minnesota628,24828,64721,30523,863(4,385)-15.5%29
50Olympia831,15126,40022,67725,985(5,166)-16.6%24
51Wyoming68,7706,9925,3177,159(1,611)-18.4%81
52Central Pennsylvania316,40815,34013,87513,260(3,148)-19.2%53
53Kansas716,29713,50811,80413,017(3,280)-20.1%55
54Montana67,0574,6724,5435,587(1,470)-20.8%85
55*San Diego8n/a15,53515,83618,47318,473-22.0%35
56*Los Angeles893,49357,58851,56954,460(39,033)-22.0%4
57Eau Claire52,7992,4022,0502,123(676)-24.2%97
58Washington342,54626,62126,87831,823(10,723)-25.2%16
59Delaware313,46612,4579,23910,022(3,444)-25.6%68
60*California849,57327,14721,52324,119(25,454)-25.7%27
61*El Camino Real8n/a12,99212,58612,71412,714-25.7%57
62Massachusetts181,18270,23757,87760,042(21,140)-26.0%3
63Chicago549,45142,64933,71036,297(13,154)-26.6%13
64Eastern Oregon83,8003,7583,0672,761(1,039)-27.3%94
65Southern Ohio527,86223,71518,80820,232(7,630)-27.4%33
66Milwaukee516,45812,71610,77111,902(4,556)-27.7%60
67Western Massachusetts120,00918,59814,32814,340(5,669)-28.3%49
68Western Kansas73,3642,7572,3512,374(990)-29.4%96
69Oregon825,47019,30915,51717,636(7,834)-30.8%39
70Pittsburgh324,46017,15114,90916,607(7,853)-32.1%40
71West Missouri715,42013,14510,42910,438(4,982)-32.3%67
72Bethlehem318,14216,12413,19312,177(5,965)-32.9%59
73North Dakota62,8261,9822,1441,872(954)-33.8%98
74Western Michigan516,68111,60510,74411,010(5,671)-34.0%65
75Springfield58,4967,1945,3305,442(3,054)-35.9%86
76Quincy54,1683,7112,5662,630(1,538)-36.9%95
77Rhode Island130,28926,02321,47619,098(11,191)-36.9%34
78Long Island269,85664,66853,55044,036(25,820)-37.0%9
79Connecticut185,59962,95548,04252,661(32,938)-38.5%5
80Northern Indiana59,5927,7326,0975,890(3,702)-38.6%84
81Pennsylvania372,40360,52050,33144,123(28,280)-39.1%8
82Spokane811,59410,3128,2797,020(4,574)-39.5%82
83Nebraska614,38711,0749,0198,695(5,692)-39.6%73
84New Jersey264,79656,39541,99839,125(25,671)-39.6%11
85West Virginia314,02512,88310,0578,396(5,629)-40.1%76
86South Dakota69,9638,6737,2625,926(4,037)-40.5%83
87Iowa615,67612,5009,8909,324(6,352)-40.5%70
88Albany226,24123,98516,84415,450(10,791)-41.1%45
89Fond du Lac57,9128,0246,6344,627(3,285)-41.5%91
90Northern Michigan52,8512,8391,9201,655(1,196)-42.0%99
91Rochester218,43314,26510,75410,627(7,806)-42.3%66
92New York283,30247,84642,72646,616(36,686)-44.0%6
93Ohio547,67739,25628,33325,902(21,775)-45.7%25
94Newark252,00538,57128,62627,745(24,260)-46.6%22
95Northwestern Pennsylvania38,8797,1174,8954,671(4,208)-47.4%90
96Western New York226,46520,24915,47412,757(13,708)-51.8%56
97*Eastern Michigan5n/an/an/a8,4778,477-52.1%75
98*Michigan567,96553,00335,26524,107(43,858)-52.1%28
99Central New York233,38226,29716,21315,870(17,512)-52.5%42
n/aNavajoland8n/a296648729729n/a100
Totals: 2,208,7731,933,0781,698,2401,861,308(347,465)-15.7%

* An asterisk indicates dioceses that were affected by redivisions of the geographical territory during this 30-year period. The Diocese of Tennessee was split into three dioceses. Portions of The Diocese of Alabama and the Diocese of Florida were used to create the Diocese of Central Gulf Coast. The Diocese of Louisiana was split in half, as were the Diocese of California, the Diocese of Dallas, the Diocese of Michigan, and the Diocese of Los Angeles.

In the table above and in the one below, for the dioceses affected by the new boundaries, the growth/decline rate is based on the combined total in 1970 and the combined total in 2000 for all in any one of these clusters. For example, you will see that the Diocese of Florida, Diocese of Central Gulf Coast, and Diocese of Alabama are given the same percentage of change in their combined communicant increase.

ECUSA Diocesan Changes Compared with State Population Changes, 1970-2000
In descending order, most favorable to least favorable
RankDioceseChange in State Population, 1970-2000Change in Communicants, 1970-2000Church change vs. Population Change
1Alabama29.1%66.4%37.3%
2Western North Carolina58.3%83.2%24.8%
3Mississippi28.3%36.4%8.0%
4Washington-24.4%-25.2%-0.8%
5Vermont36.8%28.9%-7.9%
6Lexington25.5%11.1%-14.4%
7Virginia52.2%37.4%-14.8%
8Atlanta78.4%61.3%-17.1%
9Upper South Carolina54.8%35.6%-19.2%
10North Carolina58.3%37.6%-20.7%
11East Carolina58.3%35.2%-23.1%
12Central Pennsylvania4.1%-19.2%-23.3%
13Missouri19.6%-3.9%-23.5%
14South Carolina54.8%26.8%-28.1%
15Easton35.0%6.6%-28.4%
16Indianapolis17.0%-11.4%-28.4%
17East Tennessee44.9%15.4%-29.5%
18Tennessee44.9%15.4%-29.5%
19West Tennessee44.9%15.4%-29.5%
20Southern Ohio6.5%-27.4%-33.9%
21Pittsburgh4.1%-32.1%-36.2%
22Louisiana22.6%-13.6%-36.2%
23Western Louisiana22.6%-13.6%-36.2%
24Bethlehem4.1%-32.9%-36.9%
25Massachusetts11.6%-26.0%-37.6%
26North Dakota3.9%-33.8%-37.7%
27Kentucy25.5%-12.4%-37.9%
28Chicago11.8%-26.6%-38.4%
29Maine28.3%-10.4%-38.7%
30Kansas19.5%-20.1%-39.7%
31Western Massachusetts11.6%-28.3%-39.9%
32New Hampshire67.5%26.5%-40.9%
33Southern Virginia52.2%11.2%-41.0%
34Long Island4.0%-37.0%-41.0%
35Pennsylvania4.1%-39.1%-43.1%
36West Virginia3.7%-40.1%-43.8%
37Iowa3.6%-40.5%-44.1%
38Arkansas39.0%-5.6%-44.7%
39Minnesota29.3%-15.5%-44.8%
40Albany4.0%-41.1%-45.2%
41Oklahoma34.8%-10.6%-45.5%
42Eau Claire21.4%-24.2%-45.6%
43Western Michigan11.9%-34.0%-45.9%
44Rochester4.0%-42.3%-46.4%
45Maryland35.0%-11.4%-46.4%
46Rhode Island10.3%-36.9%-47.3%
47Springfield11.8%-35.9%-47.7%
48New York4.0%-44.0%-48.1%
49Georgia78.4%30.0%-48.4%
50Quincy11.8%-36.9%-48.7%
51Western Kansas19.5%-29.4%-49.0%
52Milwaukee21.4%-27.7%-49.1%
53Soutwestern Virginia52.2%2.4%-49.8%
54Connecticut12.3%-38.5%-50.8%
55Montana30.0%-20.8%-50.8%
56Northwestern Pennsylvania4.1%-47.4%-51.5%
57West Missouri19.6%-32.3%-51.9%
58Ohio6.5%-45.7%-52.2%
59Northern Michigan11.9%-42.0%-53.8%
60South Dakota13.3%-40.5%-53.9%
61Nebraska15.2%-39.6%-54.8%
62Northern Indiana17.0%-38.6%-55.6%
63Western New York4.0%-51.8%-55.8%
64Central New York4.0%-52.5%-56.5%
65New Jersey17.3%-39.6%-57.0%
66Fond du Lac21.4%-41.5%-62.9%
67Newark17.3%-46.6%-64.0%
68Eastern Michigan11.9%-52.1%-64.0%
69Michigan11.9%-52.1%-64.0%
70Dallas86.1%21.1%-65.0%
71Fort Worth86.1%21.1%-65.0%
72Hawaii57.3%-8.6%-65.9%
73Wyoming48.7%-18.4%-67.1%
74San Joaquin69.6%1.6%-68.0%
75Delaware43.0%-25.6%-68.6%
76Texas86.1%17.4%-68.7%
77Central Gulf Coast135.3%66.4%-68.9%
78San Diego69.6%-1.4%-71.0%
79Idaho81.5%9.3%-72.1%
80Rio Grande78.9%3.4%-75.5%
81West Texas86.1%-0.6%-86.7%
82Olympia72.7%-16.6%-89.3%
83Eastern Oregon63.5%-27.3%-90.9%
84Los Angeles69.6%-22.0%-91.6%
85Northern California69.6%-22.0%-91.6%
86Florida135.3%66.4%-92.2%
87Central Florida135.3%43.1%-92.2%
88Utah110.9%18.1%-92.7%
89Oregon63.5%-30.8%-94.3%
90California69.6%-25.7%-95.3%
91El Camino Real69.6%-25.7%-95.3%
92Northwest Texas86.1%-12.0%-98.1%
93Alaska106.9%7.9%-99.0%
94Colorado94.6%-7.8%-102.5%
95Spokane72.7%-39.5%-112.1%
96Southwest Florida135.3%21.7%-113.7%
97Southeast Florida135.3%-3.6%-138.9%
98Arizona189.0%29.3%-159.8%
99Nevada308.6%-2.1%-310.7%
n/aNavajolandn/an/an/a

State populations  refer to the state of the See city of the diocese. Thus all the dioceses in California are attributed the California population growth rate, when in fact, some of these areas probably grew more than others. Dioceses which cross state boundaries are still compared with the population figures of the state of only their See city.

The comparison is probably least accurate for the Diocese of Washington. I used the population data of the District of COlumbia, but significant portions of the diocese are outside the District, in Maryland.

The percent change in communicants is calculated in the table as explained earlier.

The Diocese of Navajoland did not exist in 1970 but I do not have estimates of the population involved, since it is an extraterritorial diocese. The numbers there are the smallest of all dioceses and thus not able to throw off overall computations.


Louie Crew is a member of Executive Council of the Episcopal Church (2000-2006)  and a member of the Diocese of Newark's deputation to General Convention (1994, 1997, 2000, 2003). He serves on the Standing Committee of the Diocese of Newark.

All graphs were prepared by Louie Crew based on data from numerous sources, including the U.S. Censuses for 1970, 1980,  1990 and 2000 and the "Table of Statistics of the Episcopal Church" for those years, as printed in The Episcopal Church Annual for 1972, 1982, 1992, and 2002. Data on mainline denominations was from Kenneth Woodward, "Decline for the Mainline," Newsweek August 9, 1993, page 46.

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